No threat expected from Tropical Storm Douglas
A month into the Pacific hurricane season, the Eastern Pacific has its second named storm.
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Tropical Storm Douglas, however, is unlikely to have any effect on Hawaii’s weather, especially during the upcoming Independence Day weekend.
“We’re keeping an eye on it. It’s likely not a threat. Maybe it’ll bring some moisture, but not anything substantial,” said Dennis Trotter, a forecaster for the National Weather Service in Honolulu.
As of late Wednesday afternoon, Douglas was far from Hawaii off the southern tip of Mexico’s Baja Peninsula, moving northward with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph and locally higher gusts. The storm is expected to continue along the same path today with a gradual turn to the northwest forecast late this week. It’s also forecast to weaken starting today, becoming a post-tropical depression by Friday.
Douglas comes almost exactly a month after the first named cyclone, Tropical Storm Amanda, which formed June 2, moved toward the Central Pacific, but fizzled out five days later.
With the current El Nino conditions expected to intensify, the frequency of named tropical cyclones is likely to increase, according to Trotter.
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“Typically, the peak is around August. So, closer to there, we’ll probably see some named storms over the Eastern Pacific. Maybe some will make it into the Central Pacific, as well,” he said.
Meanwhile, the NWS extended forecast is predicting scattered showers over the July Fourth weekend for East Hawaii, while sunnier skies are expected in West Hawaii, with perhaps some isolated evening showers.
“The trade winds are going to be pretty much moderate on the Hilo side over the weekend,” Trotter said. “Hilo could see some showers, like it normally does — kind of status quo over the weekend.
“Kona doesn’t really get trade winds, so it’ll probably be the standard afternoon clouds over the Kona slopes with sea breeze action during the day, land breeze during the night.”
High temperatures are expected to be in the upper 70s in Hilo and lower-to-mid 80s in Kona, while overnight lows are expected to dip into the upper 60s on both sides.
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Email John Burnett at [email protected].